Algorithmic GovernanceSurveillance CapitalismInstitutional AI CascadePredictive PolicingDigital InfrastructureThe Mario Gambit

LIES, DAMN LIES AND POLICE EVIDENCE

A 2028 Scenario

Abstract

This paper examines the incremental embedding of Palantir Technologies into British public infrastructure, metropolitan policing, the National Health Service, and the Ministry of Defence, and the governance failure that embedding represents. Drawing on procurement records, parliamentary committee findings, the company's published political philosophy, and autoethnographic observation, it argues that the question of who controls AI-driven evidence gathering infrastructure is not a technical question but a political one, and that the political conditions surrounding that infrastructure are materially unstable. The paper constructs a 2028 scenario in which a London mayoral election, climate-stressed power infrastructure, autonomous drone deployment, facial recognition at scale, and a change of administration converge around a dataset that is already being built, in a system that has already demonstrated what it values. The scenario is not a prediction. It is an assembly of existing components whose interactions have not been adequately examined. The paper situates this analysis within the Brace Brace Collection's broader framework of institutional AI cascade and the Mario Gambit problem of incremental lock-in.

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